Earth Warning: You are not logged in. Your IP address will be publicly visible if you make any edits. If you log in or create an account, your edits will be attributed to your username, along with other benefits.Anti-spam check. Do not fill this in! === Future === {{Main|Future of Earth}} {{See also|Global catastrophic risk}} [[File:Red Giant Earth warm.jpg|thumb|upright=1.3|alt=A dark gray and red sphere representing the Earth lies against a black background to the right of an orange circular object representing the Sun|Conjectured illustration of the scorched Earth after the [[Sun]] has entered the [[red giant]] phase, about 5–7 billion years from now]] Earth's expected long-term future is tied to that of the Sun. Over the next {{val|1.1|u=billion years}}, solar luminosity will increase by 10%, and over the next {{val|3.5|u=billion years}} by 40%.<ref name="sun_future" /> Earth's increasing surface temperature will accelerate the [[carbonate–silicate cycle|inorganic carbon cycle]], reducing {{chem2|CO2}} concentration to levels lethally low for plants ({{val|10|ul=ppm}} for [[C4 carbon fixation|C4 photosynthesis]]) in approximately {{val|100|–|900|u=million years}}.<ref name="britt2000" /><ref name="pnas1_24_9576" /> The lack of vegetation will result in the loss of oxygen in the atmosphere, making animal life impossible.<ref name="ward_brownlee2002" /> Due to the increased luminosity, Earth's mean temperature may reach {{convert|100|C|F|0|abbr=}} in 1.5 billion years, and all ocean water will evaporate and be lost to space, which may trigger a [[runaway greenhouse effect]], within an estimated 1.6 to 3 billion years.<ref name="Mello-2020">{{Cite journal |last1=Mello |first1=Fernando de Sousa |last2=Friaça |first2=Amâncio César Santos |date=2020 |title=The end of life on Earth is not the end of the world: converging to an estimate of life span of the biosphere? |journal=International Journal of Astrobiology |language=en |volume=19 |issue=1 |pages=25–42 |doi=10.1017/S1473550419000120 |bibcode=2020IJAsB..19...25D |issn=1473-5504 |doi-access=free}}</ref> Even if the Sun were stable, a fraction of the water in the modern oceans will descend to the [[Mantle (geology)|mantle]], due to reduced steam venting from mid-ocean ridges.<ref name="Mello-2020" /><ref name="hess5_4_569" /> The Sun will [[stellar evolution|evolve]] to become a [[red giant]] in about {{val|5|u=billion years}}. Models predict that the Sun will expand to roughly {{convert|1|AU|e6km e6mi|lk=in|abbr=unit}}, about 250 times its present radius.<ref name="sun_future" /><ref name="sun_future_schroder" /> Earth's fate is less clear. As a red giant, the Sun will lose roughly 30% of its mass, so, without tidal effects, Earth will move to an orbit {{convert|1.7|AU|e6km e6mi|lk=off|abbr=unit}} from the Sun when the star reaches its maximum radius, otherwise, with tidal effects, it may enter the Sun's atmosphere and be vaporized.<ref name="sun_future" /> Summary: Please note that all contributions to Christianpedia may be edited, altered, or removed by other contributors. If you do not want your writing to be edited mercilessly, then do not submit it here. You are also promising us that you wrote this yourself, or copied it from a public domain or similar free resource (see Christianpedia:Copyrights for details). Do not submit copyrighted work without permission! Cancel Editing help (opens in new window) Discuss this page