2016 United States presidential election Warning: You are not logged in. Your IP address will be publicly visible if you make any edits. If you log in or create an account, your edits will be attributed to your username, along with other benefits.Anti-spam check. Do not fill this in! == Comparison to polls and other forecasts == [[File:General election polls 2016 Clinton v Trump.svg|thumb|Final polling averages for the 2016 election by state. Polls from lightly shaded states are older than September 1, 2016. {{aligned table|fullwidth=y|leftright=y |{{legend inline|#698dc5}}{{legend inline|#b0ceff|'''[[Hillary Clinton]]'''}}|'''216''' |{{legend inline|#f07763}}{{legend inline|#ffb6b6|'''[[Donald Trump]]'''}}|'''184''' |{{legend striped|#698dc5|#f07763|'''[[Margin of error]] between Clinton and Trump'''}}|'''134''' |{{legend|#c1c1c1|'''No data''' }}|'''4''' }}]] {{further|Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election|Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election}} Various methods were used to [[Political forecasting|forecast the outcome]] of the 2016 election.<ref name="ef">{{cite web |url=http://www.oxfordbibliographies.com/view/document/obo-9780199756223/obo-9780199756223-0023.xml |title=Election forecasting |last1=Stegmaier |first1=Mary |last2=Norpoth |first2=Helmut |date=September 30, 2013|access-date=September 26, 2016 |doi=10.1093/obo/9780199756223-0023}}</ref> There were many competing election forecast approaches including [[Nate Silver]]'s [[FiveThirtyEight]], [[The Upshot]] at ''The New York Times'', ''[[Daily Kos]]'', [[Princeton University|Princeton Election Consortium]], [[Cook Political Report]], [[Stuart Rothenberg|Rothenberg and Gonzales]], PollyVote, [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]] and [[Electoral-vote.com|Electoral-Vote]]. These models mostly showed a Democratic advantage since the nominees were confirmed, and were supported by pundits and statisticians, including [[Nate Silver]] of FiveThirtyEight, Nate Cohn at ''The New York Times'', and [[Larry Sabato]] from the Crystal Ball newsletter, who predicted a Democratic victory in competitive presidential races and projected consistent leads in several battleground states around the country.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html |title=Who will be president? How Other Forecasts Compare |work=[[The New York Times]] |date=July 19, 2016 |access-date=September 26, 2016|last1=Katz |first1=Josh }}</ref> However, FiveThirtyEight's model pointed to the possibility of an Electoral College-popular vote split widening in the final weeks based on Trump's improvement in swing states like Florida or Pennsylvania. This was due to the demographics targeted by Trump's campaign which lived in big numbers there, in addition to Clinton's poor performance in several of those swing states in comparison with Obama's performance in 2012, as well as having a big number of her potential voters in very populated traditionally 'blue' states, but also in some very populated states traditionally 'red', like Texas, which were projected safe for Trump.<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-trump-could-win-the-white-house-while-losing-the-popular-vote/ |title=How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote |last=Wasserman |first=David |date=September 15, 2016 |website=[[FiveThirtyEight]]|access-date=February 17, 2017 |language=en-US}}</ref> Early [[exit polls]] generally favored Clinton.<ref name=frankluntz/> After the polls closed and some of the results came in, the forecasts were found to be inaccurate, as Trump performed better in the competitive Midwestern states, such as [[2016 United States presidential election in Iowa|Iowa]], [[2016 United States presidential election in Ohio|Ohio]], and [[2016 United States presidential election in Minnesota|Minnesota]], than expected. Three states ([[2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|Pennsylvania]], [[2016 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|Wisconsin]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Michigan|Michigan]]) which were considered to be part of Clinton's [[Blue wall (U.S. politics)|firewall]], were won by Trump.<ref name=frankluntz>{{Cite news |first=Frank|last=Lutz|url=https://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/frank-luntz-ban-exit-polls-231051 |title=Frank Luntz: Ban exit polls |website=[[Politico]]|publisher=[[Capitol News Company]]|location=Arlington, Virginia|date=November 9, 2016|access-date=November 10, 2016}}</ref> Of the states in the [[Great Lakes|Great Lakes region]], Clinton won the swing state of [[Minnesota]] by one point, as well as traditional Democratic strongholds such as [[New York (state)|New York]] and [[Illinois]] with populous urban centers. This result stands in contrast to that of [[2012 United States presidential election|2012]], when [[Barack Obama|President Barack Obama]] won all but [[Indiana]], which he carried in [[2008 United States presidential election|2008]]. This table displays the final polling average published by [[RealClearPolitics|Real Clear Politics]] on November 7, the actual electoral margin, and the over-performance by either candidate relative to the polls. {| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center" |- !State !Electoral <br> votes !Polling average !Final result !Difference |- !Arizona |11 |style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"|Trump +4<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/az/arizona_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-6087.html |title=RealClearPoliticsâElection 2016âArizona: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein |website=www.realclearpolitics.com|access-date=July 14, 2017}}</ref> |style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"|Trump +3.5 |Clinton +0.5 |- !Colorado |9 |style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"|Clinton +2.9<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/co/colorado_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5974.html |title=RealClearPoliticsâElection 2016âColorado: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein |website=www.realclearpolitics.com|access-date=July 14, 2017}}</ref> |style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"|Clinton +4.9 |Clinton +2 |- !Florida |29 |style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"|Trump +0.2<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5963.html |title=RealClearPoliticsâElection 2016âFlorida: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein |website=Real Clear Politics|access-date=January 3, 2017}}</ref> |style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"|Trump +1.2 |Trump +1 |- !Georgia |16 |style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"|Trump +4.8<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ga/georgia_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson-5968.html |title=RealClearPoliticsâElection 2016âGeorgia: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson |website=www.realclearpolitics.com|access-date=July 14, 2017}}</ref> |style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"|Trump +5.1 |Trump +0.3 |- !Iowa |6 |style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"|Trump +3<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5981.html |title=RealClearPoliticsâElection 2016âIowa: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein |website=Real Clear Politics|access-date=January 3, 2017}}</ref> |style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"|Trump +9.5 |Trump +6.5 |- !Maine |4 |style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"|Clinton +4.5<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/me/maine_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-6091.html |title=RealClearPoliticsâElection 2016âMaine: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein |website=www.realclearpolitics.com|access-date=February 6, 2017}}</ref> |style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"|Clinton +2.9 |Trump +1.6 |- !Michigan |16 |style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"|Clinton +3.4<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mi/michigan_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-6008.html |title=RealClearPoliticsâElection 2016âMichigan: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein |website=Real Clear Politics|access-date=January 3, 2017}}</ref> |style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"|Trump +0.3 |Trump +3.7 |- !Minnesota |10 |style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"|Clinton +6.2<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mn/minnesota_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-6138.html |title=RealClearPoliticsâElection 2016âMinnesota: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein |website=Real Clear Politics|access-date=January 3, 2017}}</ref> |style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"|Clinton +1.5 |Trump +4.7 |- !Nevada |6 |style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"|Trump +0.8<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nv/nevada_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson-6004.html |title=RealClearPoliticsâElection 2016âNevada: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson |website=www.realclearpolitics.com|access-date=February 6, 2017}}</ref> |style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"|Clinton +2.4 |Clinton +3.2 |- !New Hampshire |4 |style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"|Clinton +0.6<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-6022.html |title=RealClearPoliticsâElection 2016âNew Hampshire: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein |website=www.realclearpolitics.com|access-date=February 6, 2017}}</ref> |style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"|Clinton +0.3 |Trump +0.3 |- !New Mexico |5 |style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"|Clinton +5<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nm/new_mexico_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-6113.html |title=RealClearPoliticsâElection 2016âNew Mexico: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein |website=www.realclearpolitics.com|access-date=July 14, 2017}}</ref> |style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"|Clinton +8.3 |Clinton +3.3 |- !North Carolina |15 |style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"|Trump +1<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nc/north_carolina_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson-5951.html |title=RealClearPoliticsâElection 2016âNorth Carolina: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson |website=Real Clear Politics|access-date=January 3, 2017}}</ref> |style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"|Trump +3.7 |Trump +2.7 |- !Ohio |18 |style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"|Trump +3.5<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/oh/ohio_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5970.html |title=RealClearPoliticsâElection 2016âOhio: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein |website=www.realclearpolitics.com|access-date=February 6, 2017}}</ref> |style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"|Trump +8.1 |Trump +4.6 |- !Pennsylvania |20 |style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"|Clinton +1.9<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5964.html |title=RealClearPoliticsâElection 2016âPennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein |website=Real Clear Politics|access-date=January 3, 2017}}</ref> |style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"|Trump +0.7 |Trump +2.6 |- !Virginia |13 |style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"|Clinton +5<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/va/virginia_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5966.html |title=RealClearPoliticsâElection 2016âVirginia: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein |website=www.realclearpolitics.com|access-date=July 14, 2017}}</ref> |style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"|Clinton +5.4 |Clinton +0.4 |- !Wisconsin |10 |style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"|Clinton +6.5<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5976.html |title=RealClearPoliticsâElection 2016âWisconsin: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein |website=Real Clear Politics|access-date=January 3, 2017}}</ref> |style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"|Trump +0.7 |Trump +7.2 |} Many pollsters were puzzled by the failure of mainstream forecasting models to predict the outcome of the 2016 election.<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Skibba |first=Ramin |title=Pollsters struggle to explain failures of US presidential forecasts |journal=[[Nature (journal)|Nature]] |volume=539 |issue=7629 |page=339 |doi=10.1038/nature.2016.20968 |pmid=27853221 |year=2016 |bibcode=2016Natur.539..339S|s2cid=4459714 |doi-access=free }}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last1=Graefe |first1=Andreas |title=A terrible day for election forecasters. Where are the winners? |url=http://pollyvote.com/en/2016/11/09/a-terrible-day-for-election-forecasters-where-are-the-winners/ |website=pollyvote.com |access-date=November 13, 2016 |date=November 9, 2016}}</ref> Some journalists compared the 2016 election to the failure of prognosticator Arthur Henning in the "[[Dewey Defeats Truman]]" incident from the [[1948 United States presidential election|1948 presidential election]].<ref name="grossman">{{cite web|last=Grossman|first=Ron|date=November 11, 2016|title=Flashback: It's happened before: Truman's defeat of Dewey had hints of Trump-Clinton|url=https://www.chicagotribune.com/news/opinion/commentary/ct-truman-defeats-dewey-1948-flashback-perspec-1113-md-20161111-story.html|access-date=December 3, 2017|work=[[Chicago Tribune]]}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Rutenberg |first1=Jim|date=November 9, 2016 |title=A 'Dewey Defeats Truman' Lesson for the Digital Age |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/09/business/media/media-trump-clinton.html |newspaper=[[The New York Times]] |access-date=January 4, 2018 }}</ref> [[Sean Trende]], writing for ''[[RealClearPolitics]]'', wrote that many of the polls were accurate, but that the pundits' interpretation of these polls neglected polling error.<ref>{{cite web |last=Trende |first=Sean |url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2016/11/12/it_wasnt_the_polls_that_missed_it_was_the_pundits_132333.html |title=It Wasn't the Polls That Missed, It Was the Pundits |work=[[RealClearPolitics]] |date=November 12, 2016 |access-date=January 27, 2017}}</ref> [[Nate Silver]] found that the high number of undecided and third-party voters in the election was neglected in many of these models, and that many of these voters decided to vote for Trump.<ref>{{cite web |last=Silver |first=Nate |url=http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-invisible-undecided-voter/ |title=The Invisible Undecided Voter |work=[[FiveThirtyEight]] |date=January 23, 2017 |access-date=January 27, 2017}}</ref> According to a February 2018 study by ''[[Public Opinion Quarterly]]'', the main sources of polling error were "a late swing in vote preference toward Trump and a pervasive failure to adjust for over-representation of college graduates (who favored Clinton)", whereas the share of "shy" Trump voters (who declined to admit their support for Trump to the pollsters) proved to be negligible.<ref>{{Cite journal|last1=Kennedy|first1=Courtney|last2=Blumenthal|first2=Mark|last3=Clement|first3=Scott|last4=Clinton|first4=Joshua D|last5=Durand|first5=Claire|last6=Franklin|first6=Charles|last7=McGeeney|first7=Kyley|last8=Miringoff|first8=Lee|last9=Olson|first9=Kristen|author9-link= Kristen Olson |date=March 6, 2018|title=An Evaluation of the 2016 Election Polls in the United States|journal=Public Opinion Quarterly|language=en|volume=82|issue=1|pages=1â33|doi=10.1093/poq/nfx047|issn=0033-362X|doi-access=free}}</ref> Political scientist Lloyd Gruber said, "One of the major casualties of the 2016 election season has been the reputation of political science, a discipline whose practitioners had largely dismissed Donald Trump's chances of gaining the Republican nomination."<ref>Lloyd Gruber, "How political scientists got Trump exactly wrong." [http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/67227/1/blogs.lse.ac.uk-How%20political%20scientists%20got%20Trump%20exactly%20wrong.pdf ''USAppâAmerican Politics and Policy Blog'' (01 Jun 2016)]</ref> Trump said that he was surprised, and added "I always used to believe in [polls]. I don't believe them anymore."{{r|bloomberg20161213}} FiveThirtyEight's final polls-plus forecast predicted 18 states, plus the second congressional districts of [[Maine]] and [[Nebraska]], with an interval of confidence lower than 90%.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race |title=Election Update: Don't Ignore The PollsâClinton Leads, But It's A Close Race |date=November 6, 2016 |website=[[FiveThirtyEight]] |language=en-US|access-date=January 26, 2017}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ |title=2016 Election Forecast |last=Silver |first=Nate |author-link=Nate Silver|date=June 29, 2016 |website=[[FiveThirtyEight]] |language=en-US|access-date=January 26, 2017}}</ref> However, every major forecaster, including FiveThirtyEight, ''The New York Times'' Upshot, [[prediction market]]s aggregator PredictWise, ElectionBettingOdds from Maxim Lott and [[John Stossel]], the ''[[Daily Kos|DailyKos]]'', the [[Princeton University|Princeton Election Consortium]], the ''[[Huffington Post]]'', the ''[[The Cook Political Report|Cook Political Report]]'', [[Larry Sabato]]'s [[University of Virginia Center for Politics|Crystal Ball]], and the [[Stuart Rothenberg|Rothenberg and Gonzales Report]], called every state the same way (although Cook and Rothenberg-Gonzales left two and five states as toss-ups, respectively). The lone exception was [[Maine's 2nd congressional district]]. Of the forecasters who published results on the district, the ''Times'' gave Trump a 64% chance of winning and PredictWise a 52% chance, FiveThirtyEight gave Clinton a 51% chance of winning in polls-only and 54% in polls-plus, Princeton gave her a 60% chance, Cook labelled it a toss-up, and Sabato leaned it towards Trump.<ref name=":0"/> The following table displays the final winning probabilities given by each outlet, along with the final electoral result. The states shown have been identified by [[Politico]],<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/05/2016-predictions-117554 |title=The 2016 Results We Can Already Predict |website=[[Politico|Politico Magazine]]|date=May 3, 2015 |access-date=January 31, 2017}}</ref> [[FiscalNote|WhipBoard]],<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://whipboard.co/2016/08/voter-profiles-2016-swing-states/ |title=Voter profiles in ten 2016 swing states |date=August 8, 2016 |newspaper=Whipboard |language=en-US |access-date=January 31, 2017 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170131160035/https://whipboard.co/2016/08/voter-profiles-2016-swing-states/ |archive-date=January 31, 2017 }}</ref> ''The New York Times'',<ref name="nytimes1">{{Cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html |title=2016 Election Forecast: Who Will Be President? |last=Katz |first=Josh |date=July 19, 2016 |newspaper=[[The New York Times]] |issn=0362-4331|access-date=January 31, 2017}}</ref> and the Crystal Ball as battlegrounds. {| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center" |- ! State ! The New York Times Upshot<ref name="nytimes1"/> ! [[FiveThirtyEight|Five{{shy}}Thirty{{shy}}Eight]]<ref name="nytimes1"/> ! Predict{{shy}}Wise<ref name="nytimes1"/> ! [[Sam Wang (neuroscientist)|Princeton Election Consortium]]<ref name="nytimes1"/> ! [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]]<ref name="nytimes1"/> ! [[2012 United States presidential election|2012 margin]] ! [[#Results|2016 margin]] |- ! [[Alaska]] | style="background:#FF557A" | 83% R | style="background:#FF55A0" | 76% R | style="background:#f55;"| 94% R | style="background:#f55;"| 96% R | style="background:#FF557A" | Likely R | style="background:#FF557A" | 14 R | style="background:#f55;"| 15 R |- ! [[Arizona]] | style="background:#FF557A" | 84% R | style="background:#FF55C6" | 67% R | style="background:#FF557A" | 82% R | style="background:#f55;"| 91% R | style="background:#FF55C6" | Lean R | style="background:#FF55A0" | 9 R | style="background:#FF55C6" | 4 R |- ! [[Colorado]] | style="background:#7A55FF" | 89% D | style="background:#A055FF" | 78% D | style="background:#55f;"| 95% D | style="background:#55f;"| 96% D | style="background:#7A55FF" | Likely D | style="background:#C655FF" | 5 D | style="background:#C655FF" | 5 D |- ! [[Florida]] | style="background:#C655FF" | 67% D | style="background:#EC55FF" | 55% D | style="background:#A055FF" | 77% D | style="background:#C655FF" | 69% D | style="background:#C655FF" | Lean D | style="background:#EC55FF" | 1 D | style="background:#FF00E3" | 1 R |- ! [[Georgia (U.S. state)|Georgia]] | style="background:#FF557A" | 83% R | style="background:#FF55A0" | 79% R | style="background:#f55;"| 91% R | style="background:#FF557A" | 88% R | style="background:#FF557A" | Likely R | style="background:#FF55A0" | 8 R | style="background:#FF55A0" | 6 R |- ! [[Iowa]] | style="background:#FF55C6" | 62% R | style="background:#FF55A0" | 70% R | style="background:#FF55A0" | 79% R | style="background:#FF55A0" | 74% R | style="background:#FF55C6" | Lean R | style="background:#A055FF" | 6 D | style="background:#FF557A" | 10 R |- ! [[Maine|Maine (statewide)]] | style="background:#55f;"| 91% D | style="background:#7A55FF" | 83% D | style="background:#55f;"| 98% D | style="background:#55f;"| 98% D | style="background:#7A55FF" | Likely D | style="background:#55f;"| 15 D | style="background:#C655FF" | 3 D |- ! [[Maine's 2nd congressional district|Maine (CD-2)]] | style="background:#FF55C6" | 64% R | style="background:#EC55FF" | 51% D | style="background:#FF00E3" | 52% R | style="background:#C655FF" | 60% D | style="background:#FF55C6" | Lean R | style="background:#A055FF" | 9 D | style="background:#FF557A" | 10 R |- ! [[Michigan]] | style="background:#55f;"| 94% D | style="background:#A055FF" | 79% D | style="background:#55f;"| 95% D | style="background:#A055FF" | 79% D | style="background:#C655FF" | Lean D | style="background:#A055FF" | 9 D | style="background:#FF00E3" | 1 R |- ! [[Minnesota]] | style="background:#55f;"| 94% D | style="background:#7A55FF" | 85% D | style="background:#55f;"| 99% D | style="background:#55f;"| 98% D | style="background:#7A55FF" | Likely D | style="background:#A055FF" | 8 D | style="background:#EC55FF" | 2 D |- ! [[Nebraska's 2nd congressional district|Nebraska (CD-2)]] | style="background:#FF557A" | 80% R | style="background:#FF00E3" | 56% R | style="background:#FF55A0" | 75% R | style="background:#f55;"| 92% R | style="background:#FF55C6" | Lean R | style="background:#FF55A0" | 7 R | style="background:#FF55C6" | 3 R |- ! [[New Mexico]] | style="background:#55f;"| 95% D | style="background:#7A55FF" | 83% D | style="background:#55f;"| 98% D | style="background:#55f;"| 91% D | style="background:#7A55FF" | Likely D | style="background:#7A55FF" | 10 D | style="background:#A055FF" | 8 D |- ! [[Nevada]] | style="background:#C655FF" | 68% D | style="background:#EC55FF" | 58% D | style="background:#55f;"| 91% D | style="background:#7A55FF" | 84% D | style="background:#C655FF" | Lean D | style="background:#A055FF" | 7 D | style="background:#EC55FF" | 2 D |- ! [[New Hampshire]] | style="background:#A055FF" | 79% D | style="background:#A055FF" | 70% D | style="background:#7A55FF" | 84% D | style="background:#C655FF" | 63% D | style="background:#C655FF" | Lean D | style="background:#A055FF" | 6 D | style="background:#EC55FF" | 1 D |- ! [[North Carolina]] | style="background:#C655FF" | 64% D | style="background:#EC55FF" | 56% D | style="background:#C655FF" | 66% D | style="background:#C655FF" | 67% D | style="background:#C655FF" | Lean D | style="background:#FF00E3" | 2 R | style="background:#FF55C6" | 4 R |- ! [[Ohio]] | style="background:#FF00E3" | 54% R | style="background:#FF55C6" | 65% R | style="background:#FF55C6" | 67% R | style="background:#FF55C6" | 63% R | style="background:#FF55C6" | Lean R | style="background:#C655FF" | 3 D | style="background:#FF55A0" | 9 R |- ! [[Pennsylvania]] | style="background:#7A55FF" | 89% D | style="background:#A055FF" | 77% D | style="background:#55f;"| 93% D | style="background:#A055FF" | 79% D | style="background:#C655FF" | Lean D | style="background:#C655FF" | 5 D | style="background:#FF00E3" | 1 R |- ! [[Utah]] | style="background:#FF55A0" | 73% R | style="background:#FF557A" | 83% R | style="background:#FF557A" | 86% R | style="background:#f55;"| 99% R | style="background:#FF55C6" | Lean R | style="background:#f55;"| 48 R | style="background:#f55;"| 18 R |- ! [[Virginia]] | style="background:#55f;"| 96% D | style="background:#7A55FF" | 86% D | style="background:#55f;"| 98% D | style="background:#55f;"| 98% D | style="background:#7A55FF" | Likely D | style="background:#C655FF" | 4 D | style="background:#C655FF" | 5 D |- ! [[Wisconsin]] | style="background:#55f;"| 93% D | style="background:#7A55FF" | 84% D | style="background:#55f;"| 98% D | style="background:#55f;"| 98% D | style="background:#7A55FF" | Likely D | style="background:#A055FF" | 7 D | style="background:#FF00E3" | 1 R |} Summary: Please note that all contributions to Christianpedia may be edited, altered, or removed by other contributors. 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