COVID-19 Warning: You are not logged in. Your IP address will be publicly visible if you make any edits. If you log in or create an account, your edits will be attributed to your username, along with other benefits.Anti-spam check. Do not fill this in! ==== Estimates ==== [[File:Graph of Covid-19 Infection Fatality Ratio by age.png|thumb|The red line shows the estimate of infection fatality rate (IFR), in percentage terms, as a function of age. The shaded region depicts the 95% confidence interval for that estimate. Markers denotes specific observations used in the meta-analysis.<ref name="EJE_levinetal" />]] [[File:Log Graph of Covid-19 Infection Fatality Ratio by age.png|thumb|The same relationship plotted on a log scale]] A December 2020 systematic review and meta-analysis estimated that population IFR during the first wave of the pandemic was about 0.5% to 1% in many locations (including France, Netherlands, New Zealand, and Portugal), 1% to 2% in other locations (Australia, England, Lithuania, and Spain), and exceeded 2% in Italy.<ref name="EJE_levinetal">{{#invoke:cite journal || vauthors = Levin AT, Hanage WP, Owusu-Boaitey N, Cochran KB, Walsh SP, Meyerowitz-Katz G | title = Assessing the age specificity of infection fatality rates for COVID-19: systematic review, meta-analysis, and public policy implications | journal = European Journal of Epidemiology | volume = 35 | issue = 12 | pages = 1123β1138 | date = December 2020 | pmid = 33289900 | pmc = 7721859 | doi = 10.1007/s10654-020-00698-1 | doi-access = free | title-link = doi }} [[File:CC BY icon.svg|50px]] Text was copied from this source, which is available under a [https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171016050101/https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |date=16 October 2017 }}.</ref> That study also found that most of these differences in IFR reflected corresponding differences in the age composition of the population and age-specific infection rates; in particular, the metaregression estimate of IFR is very low for children and younger adults (e.g., 0.002% at age 10 and 0.01% at age 25) but increases progressively to 0.4% at age 55, 1.4% at age 65, 4.6% at age 75, and 15% at age 85.<ref name="EJE_levinetal" /> These results were also highlighted in a December 2020 report issued by the WHO.<ref>{{#invoke:cite journal||title=Background paper on Covid-19 disease and vaccines: prepared by the Strategic Advisory Group of Experts (SAGE) on immunization working group on COVID-19 vaccines|date=22 December 2020|url=https://apps.who.int/iris/handle/10665/338095|website=World Health Organization|hdl=10665/338095 | author =World Health Organization }}</ref> {| class="wikitable" |+class="nowrap"|IFR estimate per age group<br />(to December 2020)<ref name="EJE_levinetal" /> !Age group !IFR |- |0β34 |0.004% |- |35β44 |0.068% |- |45β54 |0.23% |- |55β64 |0.75% |- |65β74 |2.5% |- |75β84 |8.5% |- |85β+ |28.3% |} An analysis of those IFR rates indicates that COVID{{nbhyph}}19 is hazardous not only for the elderly but also for middle-aged adults, for whom the infection fatality rate of COVID-19 is two orders of magnitude greater than the annualised risk of a fatal automobile accident and far more dangerous than seasonal [[influenza]].<ref name="EJE_levinetal" /> Summary: Please note that all contributions to Christianpedia may be edited, altered, or removed by other contributors. If you do not want your writing to be edited mercilessly, then do not submit it here. You are also promising us that you wrote this yourself, or copied it from a public domain or similar free resource (see Christianpedia:Copyrights for details). Do not submit copyrighted work without permission! Cancel Editing help (opens in new window) Discuss this page